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TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 FY2025 delivered 11% YoY sales growth to $315.6M, GAAP diluted EPS of $0.19 and adjusted EPS of $0.27; margins expanded with adjusted operating margin 14.5% and adjusted EBITDAP margin 17.6% on strong aftermarket (commercial +42% YoY; military +32% YoY) and recovering military OEM, partially offset by Boeing 737 MAX-related OEM softness .
- Cash from operations was $33.1M and free cash flow $32.3M, aided by “strong operational performance across all our businesses,” per CEO Dan Crowley; backlog stood at $1.87B (24‑month firm book) .
- Guidance suspended and earnings call canceled due to definitive agreement to be acquired by Warburg Pincus and Berkshire Partners for $26.00/share (~$3B EV); transaction expected to close 2H CY2025, subject to approvals .
- Key narrative: aftermarket-driven margin expansion and Interiors price resets/cost actions support improving profitability into FY2026, while near-term OEM headwinds (Boeing strike timing) and a $6.2M legal contingency are offsets .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- “TRIUMPH achieved 18% EBITDAP margins in its eleventh consecutive quarter of year-over-year sales growth,” driven by aftermarket strength; commercial and military aftermarket sales grew >36% and military OEM >24% YoY, respectively .
- Commercial aftermarket +$14.8M (+42.3% YoY) on higher spares and repairs for 737, 787 and A380; military aftermarket +$12.1M (+31.5% YoY) on UH‑60 repairs and CH‑47 spares; non‑aviation revenue rose to $13.1M on geopolitical demand .
- Interiors benefited from “improved pricing across multiple programs,” contributing to higher adjusted operating margin (14.5%) and adjusted EBITDAP margin (17.6%) .
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What Went Wrong
- Commercial OEM revenue down $16.9M (-11.8% YoY) primarily from 737 MAX production disruption tied to Boeing’s strike; some relief from Interiors pricing .
- Recognized a $6.2M legal contingencies loss (after-tax $6.2M; $0.08 EPS impact) and $0.2M restructuring, diluting GAAP earnings versus non‑GAAP .
- Guidance suspended and Q3 call canceled due to pending take‑private transaction, limiting forward visibility for public investors .
Financial Results
- Consolidated performance vs prior year and sequentially
- End-market mix (Q3 FY2025 vs Q3 FY2024)
- Segment performance (Q3)
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Non-GAAP adjustments (Q3)
- Legal contingencies loss: $6.2M pre/post-tax; $0.08 EPS impact; restructuring $0.2M .
- Adjusted operating income: $45.7M; adjusted operating margin: 14.5% .
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Balance sheet snapshot (12/31/2024)
- Cash & cash equivalents: $133.5M; LT debt: $961.8M; current portion of LT debt: $8.5M .
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Backlog and working capital indicators
Note: Q3 FY2025 earnings call and webcast were canceled due to the announced acquisition; management suspended FY2025 guidance .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: Q3 FY2025 earnings call was canceled; “Current Period” references management statements in the 8‑K/press release .
Management Commentary
- “Commercial and military aftermarket sales from our IP-based business grew by more than 36% and military OEM sales grew by more than 24%. We exceeded our cash targets in the quarter through strong operational performance across all our businesses” — Dan Crowley, Chairman, President & CEO .
- “Ramping aftermarket demand and the increasing OEM production rates benefited TRIUMPH in our third fiscal quarter… our strategy to focus on IP-based OEM and aftermarket business, and work to turnaround our Interiors business, positions TRIUMPH well for fiscal 2026 and beyond” .
- On transaction backdrop and guidance: TRIUMPH suspended quarterly earnings calls and FY2025 financial guidance due to the pending Warburg Pincus/Berkshire Partners acquisition .
Q&A Highlights
No Q3 FY2025 Q&A (call canceled). From Q2 FY2025, key themes:
- Profit drivers: Aftermarket mix and Interiors settlement were the main contributors to implied ~20% 2H margin trajectory; aftermarket ~61% of profit on 33% of sales .
- Cash flow cadence: Large Q4 working capital release; confidence based on backlog and shipment plans .
- Boeing/Airbus dynamics: Boeing inventory burn and step-ups expected; equitable adjustments discussed with both Boeing and Airbus .
- Interiors outlook: Full-year 5–6% EBITDAP margin and path back to double-digit margins over FY26–29 .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global (Capital IQ) consensus for Q3 FY2025 EPS and revenue was unavailable via our SPGI feed for TGI at time of analysis (mapping error). As a result, we cannot present “vs. consensus” deltas for this quarter. Values would typically be retrieved from S&P Global; consensus data was unavailable.
- Attempted retrieval: Primary EPS Consensus Mean and Revenue Consensus Mean for Q3 2025 returned a missing mapping error (S&P Global) [Values retrieved from S&P Global unavailable].
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Aftermarket-led operating leverage: Aftermarket strength (787/A380 landing gear overhauls; CH‑47 repairs/spares) drove margin expansion to 17.6% adjusted EBITDAP margin and positive Q3 FCF, validating the IP-based spares/repairs strategy .
- Interiors inflection: Pricing resets and cost actions flipped Interiors from negative to 16.7% segment EBITDAP margin in Q3; supports structurally higher consolidated margins into FY2026 as OEM rates normalize .
- OEM headwinds manageable: 737 MAX strike/travel impacts pressured Commercial OEM, but diversified program mix and S&S margin strength offset; non‑aviation revenues also rising on geopolitical demand .
- Liquidity and balance sheet: $133.5M cash and total debt ~ $970M at Q3; sequential deleveraging benefited interest expense in prior quarters; cyclical Q4 cash release remains a core part of the model .
- Corporate event path: Take‑private at $26.00/share (~$3B EV) is the near-term stock catalyst; next steps include shareholder vote and regulatory approvals; no guidance or calls in interim .
- Trading lens: Near-term price anchored to deal spread and regulatory risk; fundamental beat/miss analysis less relevant until close. If deal risks increase, aftermarket momentum and Interiors recovery underpin the standalone story .
- Execution watch‑items: 787/A380 MRO throughput, Interiors pricing durability with Airbus, Boeing production normalization, and continued working capital discipline into Q4 seasonality .
Additional relevant press releases during the period:
- Triumph Actuation record aftermarket shipments supporting 787/A380 landing gear overhauls (capacity/mix tailwind) .
- Acquisition announcement with Warburg Pincus/Berkshire Partners and explicit cancellation of Q3 call/webcast .
- Previously scheduled webcast notice (later superseded by cancellation) .