Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

TG

TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 FY2025 delivered 11% YoY sales growth to $315.6M, GAAP diluted EPS of $0.19 and adjusted EPS of $0.27; margins expanded with adjusted operating margin 14.5% and adjusted EBITDAP margin 17.6% on strong aftermarket (commercial +42% YoY; military +32% YoY) and recovering military OEM, partially offset by Boeing 737 MAX-related OEM softness .
  • Cash from operations was $33.1M and free cash flow $32.3M, aided by “strong operational performance across all our businesses,” per CEO Dan Crowley; backlog stood at $1.87B (24‑month firm book) .
  • Guidance suspended and earnings call canceled due to definitive agreement to be acquired by Warburg Pincus and Berkshire Partners for $26.00/share (~$3B EV); transaction expected to close 2H CY2025, subject to approvals .
  • Key narrative: aftermarket-driven margin expansion and Interiors price resets/cost actions support improving profitability into FY2026, while near-term OEM headwinds (Boeing strike timing) and a $6.2M legal contingency are offsets .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • “TRIUMPH achieved 18% EBITDAP margins in its eleventh consecutive quarter of year-over-year sales growth,” driven by aftermarket strength; commercial and military aftermarket sales grew >36% and military OEM >24% YoY, respectively .
    • Commercial aftermarket +$14.8M (+42.3% YoY) on higher spares and repairs for 737, 787 and A380; military aftermarket +$12.1M (+31.5% YoY) on UH‑60 repairs and CH‑47 spares; non‑aviation revenue rose to $13.1M on geopolitical demand .
    • Interiors benefited from “improved pricing across multiple programs,” contributing to higher adjusted operating margin (14.5%) and adjusted EBITDAP margin (17.6%) .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Commercial OEM revenue down $16.9M (-11.8% YoY) primarily from 737 MAX production disruption tied to Boeing’s strike; some relief from Interiors pricing .
    • Recognized a $6.2M legal contingencies loss (after-tax $6.2M; $0.08 EPS impact) and $0.2M restructuring, diluting GAAP earnings versus non‑GAAP .
    • Guidance suspended and Q3 call canceled due to pending take‑private transaction, limiting forward visibility for public investors .

Financial Results

  • Consolidated performance vs prior year and sequentially
MetricQ3 FY2024 (Dec 31, 2023)Q1 FY2025 (Jun 30, 2024)Q2 FY2025 (Sep 30, 2024)Q3 FY2025 (Dec 31, 2024)
Revenue ($M)$285.0 $281.0 $287.5 $315.6
Operating Income ($M)$19.7 $8.1 $32.4 $39.3
Operating Margin (%)6.9% adj 6.1% adj 12.5% adj 14.5% adj
Diluted EPS (GAAP, cont. ops)$(0.15) $(0.24) $0.15 $0.19
Adjusted EPS$(0.16) $(0.06) $0.20 $0.27
Adjusted EBITDAP ($M)$27.7 $25.4 $42.6 $55.5
Adjusted EBITDAP Margin (%)9.8% 9.0% 14.9% 17.6%
Cash From Operations ($M)$27.6 $(104.5) $(38.4) $33.1
Free Cash Flow ($M)$22.4 $(112.7) $(44.7) $32.3
  • End-market mix (Q3 FY2025 vs Q3 FY2024)
End-Market ($M)Q3 FY2024Q3 FY2025
Commercial OEM$142.3 $125.4
Military OEM$61.1 $75.9
Total OEM$203.4 $201.3
Commercial Aftermarket$35.1 $49.9
Military Aftermarket$38.3 $50.4
Total Aftermarket$73.4 $100.3
Non-Aviation$7.3 $13.1
Amortization of Acquired Contract Liabilities$0.8 $0.9
Total Net Sales$285.0 $315.6
  • Segment performance (Q3)
SegmentNet Sales ($M) Q3 FY2024Net Sales ($M) Q3 FY2025Segment EBITDAP ($M) Q3 FY2024Segment EBITDAP ($M) Q3 FY2025Segment EBITDAP Margin Q3 FY2024Segment EBITDAP Margin Q3 FY2025
Systems & Support$240.9 $277.8 $39.4 $64.3 16.4% 23.2%
Interiors$44.1 $37.8 $(1.5) $6.3 -3.5% 16.7%
  • Non-GAAP adjustments (Q3)

    • Legal contingencies loss: $6.2M pre/post-tax; $0.08 EPS impact; restructuring $0.2M .
    • Adjusted operating income: $45.7M; adjusted operating margin: 14.5% .
  • Balance sheet snapshot (12/31/2024)

    • Cash & cash equivalents: $133.5M; LT debt: $961.8M; current portion of LT debt: $8.5M .
  • Backlog and working capital indicators

KPIQ1 FY2025Q2 FY2025Q3 FY2025
Backlog (next 24 months)$1.87B $1.90B $1.87B
CFO ($M)$(104.5) $(38.4) $33.1
FCF ($M)$(112.7) $(44.7) $32.3

Note: Q3 FY2025 earnings call and webcast were canceled due to the announced acquisition; management suspended FY2025 guidance .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net SalesFY2025≈ $1.2B (Q1 and Q2) Suspended (Feb 6, 2025) Suspended
Operating IncomeFY2025≈ $132.5M (Q1) $140.5M–$145.5M (Q2) Raised in Q2; then Suspended
Adjusted EBITDAPFY2025≈ $182.0M (Q1) $190.0M–$195.0M (Q2) Raised in Q2; then Suspended
GAAP EPS (diluted)FY2025≈ $0.33 (Q1) $0.47–$0.53 (Q2) Raised in Q2; then Suspended
Adjusted EPS (diluted)FY2025≈ $0.52 (Q1) $0.70–$0.76 (Q2) Raised in Q2; then Suspended
Cash From OperationsFY2025$30M–$50M (Q1) $40M–$55M (Q2) Raised in Q2; then Suspended
Free Cash FlowFY2025$10M–$25M (Q1) $20M–$30M (Q2) Raised in Q2; then Suspended

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 FY2025)Previous Mentions (Q2 FY2025)Current Period (Q3 FY2025)Trend
Aftermarket strength and margin mixAftermarket ~33% of sales but 73% of profit; strong 737/787/A320 spares & repairs; 787 landing gear overhaul cycle beginning Aftermarket ~33% of sales and 61% of profit; 787 landing gear spares/repairs ramping; strong CH‑47 activity Aftermarket up sharply YoY; CEO cites >36% IP-based aftermarket growth Improving
Interiors turnaroundRightsizing, pricing talks with Boeing; breakeven path depends on MAX rates Boeing settlement and deep cost cuts restored profitability; full-year 5–6% EBITDAP margin Improved pricing across programs; margins up to 16.7% segment EBITDAP Improving
OEM headwinds (Boeing/MAX)Anticipated H2 recovery; supplier timing/working capital build MAX strike/pause impacted backlog timing; still diversified; backlog stable ex narrowbody Commercial OEM down due to Boeing strike; partial Interiors pricing offset Mixed
Pricing power~$75M pricing planned; multi-year price ups underway Greater contribution from price ups in H2 Improved Interiors pricing cited as tailwind Improving
Cash flow seasonality/working capitalHeavy H1 build; Q4 strongest Positive H2, strongest in Q4; Q3 CFO expected positive CFO $33.1M; FCF $32.3M Improving
M&A/StrategicBoard evaluates options; simplification and deleveraging ongoing Market speculation acknowledged; focus on value creation Definitive agreement to be acquired for $26/share; guidance and call suspended New development

Note: Q3 FY2025 earnings call was canceled; “Current Period” references management statements in the 8‑K/press release .

Management Commentary

  • “Commercial and military aftermarket sales from our IP-based business grew by more than 36% and military OEM sales grew by more than 24%. We exceeded our cash targets in the quarter through strong operational performance across all our businesses” — Dan Crowley, Chairman, President & CEO .
  • “Ramping aftermarket demand and the increasing OEM production rates benefited TRIUMPH in our third fiscal quarter… our strategy to focus on IP-based OEM and aftermarket business, and work to turnaround our Interiors business, positions TRIUMPH well for fiscal 2026 and beyond” .
  • On transaction backdrop and guidance: TRIUMPH suspended quarterly earnings calls and FY2025 financial guidance due to the pending Warburg Pincus/Berkshire Partners acquisition .

Q&A Highlights

No Q3 FY2025 Q&A (call canceled). From Q2 FY2025, key themes:

  • Profit drivers: Aftermarket mix and Interiors settlement were the main contributors to implied ~20% 2H margin trajectory; aftermarket ~61% of profit on 33% of sales .
  • Cash flow cadence: Large Q4 working capital release; confidence based on backlog and shipment plans .
  • Boeing/Airbus dynamics: Boeing inventory burn and step-ups expected; equitable adjustments discussed with both Boeing and Airbus .
  • Interiors outlook: Full-year 5–6% EBITDAP margin and path back to double-digit margins over FY26–29 .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global (Capital IQ) consensus for Q3 FY2025 EPS and revenue was unavailable via our SPGI feed for TGI at time of analysis (mapping error). As a result, we cannot present “vs. consensus” deltas for this quarter. Values would typically be retrieved from S&P Global; consensus data was unavailable.
  • Attempted retrieval: Primary EPS Consensus Mean and Revenue Consensus Mean for Q3 2025 returned a missing mapping error (S&P Global) [Values retrieved from S&P Global unavailable].

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Aftermarket-led operating leverage: Aftermarket strength (787/A380 landing gear overhauls; CH‑47 repairs/spares) drove margin expansion to 17.6% adjusted EBITDAP margin and positive Q3 FCF, validating the IP-based spares/repairs strategy .
  • Interiors inflection: Pricing resets and cost actions flipped Interiors from negative to 16.7% segment EBITDAP margin in Q3; supports structurally higher consolidated margins into FY2026 as OEM rates normalize .
  • OEM headwinds manageable: 737 MAX strike/travel impacts pressured Commercial OEM, but diversified program mix and S&S margin strength offset; non‑aviation revenues also rising on geopolitical demand .
  • Liquidity and balance sheet: $133.5M cash and total debt ~ $970M at Q3; sequential deleveraging benefited interest expense in prior quarters; cyclical Q4 cash release remains a core part of the model .
  • Corporate event path: Take‑private at $26.00/share (~$3B EV) is the near-term stock catalyst; next steps include shareholder vote and regulatory approvals; no guidance or calls in interim .
  • Trading lens: Near-term price anchored to deal spread and regulatory risk; fundamental beat/miss analysis less relevant until close. If deal risks increase, aftermarket momentum and Interiors recovery underpin the standalone story .
  • Execution watch‑items: 787/A380 MRO throughput, Interiors pricing durability with Airbus, Boeing production normalization, and continued working capital discipline into Q4 seasonality .

Additional relevant press releases during the period:

  • Triumph Actuation record aftermarket shipments supporting 787/A380 landing gear overhauls (capacity/mix tailwind) .
  • Acquisition announcement with Warburg Pincus/Berkshire Partners and explicit cancellation of Q3 call/webcast .
  • Previously scheduled webcast notice (later superseded by cancellation) .